Research Article
A Mathematical Model for Assessing the Impact of Intravenous Drug Misuse on the Dynamics of HIV and HCV within Correctional Institutions
Table 1
Model parameters and their interpretations.
| Parameter description | Symbol | Point estimate | Range | Source |
| Proportion of prisoners recruited into | | 0.4 | 0–0.4 | [24] | Proportion of prisoners recruited into | | 0.3 | 0–0.3 | [24] | Proportion of prisoners recruited into | | 0.1 | 0–0.1 | Assumed | Proportion of prisoners recruited into | | 0.1 | 0–0.1 | Assumed | Proportion of prisoners recruited into | | 0.1 | 0–0.1 | Assumed | Rate of progression to AIDS stage | | 0.125 yr−1 | 0.01–0.125 | [26] | Recruitment rate for prisoners | | 123 per 100 000 | — | [24, 40] | Modification parameter | | 1.2 | ≥1 | [24] | Modification parameter | | 1.2 | ≥1 | [24] | Modification parameter | | 1.2 | ≥1 | [24] | Natural mortality rate | | 0.0142 yr−1 | 0.01–0.02 | [24] | HCV transmissibility | | 0.1 | 0.0084–0.1 | [41, 42] | HIV transmissibility | | 0.05 | 0.0084–0.1 | [41, 42] | Behaviour change | | 0.1 yr−1 | 0–0.2 | [24] | Release rate | | 0.2 yr−1 | 0.125–0.33 | [24, 43] |
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