Research Article

A Mathematical Model for Assessing the Impact of Intravenous Drug Misuse on the Dynamics of HIV and HCV within Correctional Institutions

Table 1

Model parameters and their interpretations.

Parameter description SymbolPoint estimateRangeSource

Proportion of prisoners recruited into 0.40–0.4[24]
Proportion of prisoners recruited into 0.30–0.3[24]
Proportion of prisoners recruited into 0.10–0.1Assumed
Proportion of prisoners recruited into 0.10–0.1Assumed
Proportion of prisoners recruited into 0.10–0.1Assumed
Rate of progression to AIDS stage 0.125 yr−10.01–0.125[26]
Recruitment rate for prisoners 123 per 100 000[24, 40]
Modification parameter 1.2≥1[24]
Modification parameter 1.2≥1[24]
Modification parameter 1.2≥1[24]
Natural mortality rate 0.0142 yr−10.01–0.02[24]
HCV transmissibility 0.10.0084–0.1[41, 42]
HIV transmissibility 0.050.0084–0.1[41, 42]
Behaviour change 0.1 yr−10–0.2[24]
Release rate 0.2  yr−1 0.125–0.33 [24, 43]