Advances in Epidemiology

Research Article

Forecasting Age-Specific Brain Cancer Mortality Rates Using Functional Data Analysis Models

Table 1

Forecast and 80% prediction intervals of mortality rates of total US patients of brain and CNS tumors for 2009 and 2018.


Age	Total						Male						Female
	2009			2018			2009			2018			2009			2018
	Mean	80% PI		Mean	80% PI		Mean	80% PI		Mean	80% PI		Mean	80% PI		Mean	80% PI

2	0.62	0.55	0.70	0.61	0.53	0.70	0.66	0.56	0.79	0.65	0.54	0.78	0.57	0.49	0.66	0.56	0.47	0.67
7	0.88	0.80	0.97	0.87	0.78	0.97	0.87	0.76	0.99	0.85	0.74	0.98	0.88	0.78	1.00	0.88	0.77	1.00
12	0.63	0.56	0.71	0.62	0.55	0.71	0.63	0.55	0.74	0.62	0.53	0.74	0.62	0.53	0.71	0.61	0.52	0.71
17	0.48	0.44	0.53	0.48	0.42	0.54	0.53	0.46	0.61	0.53	0.45	0.62	0.42	0.37	0.49	0.42	0.35	0.49
22	0.53	0.48	0.58	0.52	0.47	0.59	0.62	0.53	0.72	0.60	0.51	0.71	0.42	0.34	0.52	0.42	0.33	0.53
27	0.73	0.66	0.80	0.72	0.64	0.81	0.86	0.75	0.99	0.86	0.73	1.00	0.53	0.45	0.63	0.54	0.43	0.66
32	1.10	1.01	1.20	1.09	0.97	1.22	1.33	1.20	1.47	1.32	1.16	1.50	0.84	0.73	0.98	0.84	0.70	1.00
37	1.63	1.51	1.76	1.62	1.46	1.79	2.00	1.83	2.19	1.99	1.78	2.22	1.24	1.11	1.39	1.23	1.07	1.42
42	2.49	2.33	2.66	2.47	2.27	2.70	3.10	2.84	3.39	3.08	2.78	3.42	1.90	1.71	2.10	1.88	1.66	2.12
47	3.70	3.45	3.97	3.67	3.36	4.01	4.58	4.20	4.99	4.54	4.10	5.03	2.87	2.61	3.15	2.85	2.54	3.18
52	5.48	5.17	5.81	5.45	5.02	5.91	6.73	6.25	7.25	6.69	6.10	7.33	4.29	3.94	4.66	4.26	3.82	4.75
57	8.00	7.62	8.41	7.95	7.40	8.54	9.73	9.13	10.38	9.69	8.93	10.50	6.29	5.84	6.78	6.26	5.67	6.91
62	10.84	10.30	11.41	10.80	10.05	11.60	13.25	12.50	14.06	13.27	12.33	14.27	8.56	7.88	9.30	8.55	7.68	9.53
67	13.88	13.20	14.61	13.91	12.91	14.99	16.83	15.71	18.02	17.01	15.59	18.56	11.13	10.32	12.00	11.17	10.10	12.37
72	17.14	16.05	18.31	17.40	15.70	19.28	20.64	19.15	22.26	21.21	19.11	23.54	14.18	12.93	15.54	14.37	12.62	16.36
77	19.22	17.62	20.96	19.77	17.10	22.86	23.81	21.65	26.19	24.87	21.76	28.42	15.59	13.90	17.48	15.98	13.31	19.19
82	19.94	17.30	22.98	21.05	16.60	26.69	24.69	20.94	29.11	26.64	21.17	33.51	16.66	14.10	19.69	17.35	13.12	22.95
87	17.44	14.63	20.78	18.70	13.89	25.19	23.30	19.00	28.57	25.72	19.24	34.38	14.52	11.82	17.82	15.38	10.89	21.73