Probabilistic Approach in Wellbore Stability Analysis during Drilling

<table class="table-group" id="tab2"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">Field stresses (kPa/m) </td><td class="align_center">Minimum</td><td class="align_center">Maximum</td></tr><tr><td class="align_center" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 16.2066ptpx;"><svg height="11.6314pt" id="M98" style="vertical-align:-5.48781pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -6.14359 16.2066 11.6314" width="16.2066pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M548 455L523 469C505 448 490 439 461 439C416 439 374 447 316 447C144 447 23 310 23 161C23 47 89 -12 179 -12C312 -12 429 106 429 244C429 303 419 344 368 386L371 388C404 383 440 378 474 378C507 378 530 411 548 455ZM350 274C350 191 308 25 198 25C144 25 108 75 108 157C108 264 170 395 276 395C296 395 320 384 333 360C347 334 350 316 350 274Z" id="g113-240"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="565" vert-adv-y="565"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.76,3.132)"><path d="M487 439H304V409C361 402 367 391 351 344C328 280 297 190 262 110C235 178 192 284 168 353C152 396 153 403 208 409V439H-1V409C54 401 61 394 85 338C133 221 179 111 224 -10H255C312 139 363 260 398 336C426 394 432 401 487 409V439Z" id="g58-116"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="473" vert-adv-y="473"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.192,3.132)"><path d="M472 439C432 432 382 428 334 425C303 442 271 451 236 451H235C158 451 54 398 54 285C54 216 97 171 140 152C124 133 93 105 53 90C52 81 55 63 64 48C77 27 102 5 137 -6C115 -22 77 -53 57 -73C40 -88 32 -107 32 -130C32 -189 96 -253 208 -253C340 -253 461 -159 461 -56C461 44 378 63 314 63C281 63 246 62 207 62C163 62 145 80 145 99C145 114 160 130 175 141C191 138 210 136 226 136C314 136 405 188 405 294C405 329 393 359 376 382L433 378C448 387 469 415 477 430L472 439ZM226 417C282 417 320 364 320 288S281 172 236 171C180 171 142 224 142 300S182 417 226 417ZM248 -9C291 -9 319 -11 346 -22S390 -57 390 -90C390 -151 339 -199 246 -199C171 -199 114 -159 114 -106C114 -79 132 -53 159 -30C178 -15 200 -9 248 -9Z" id="g58-101"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="479" vert-adv-y="479"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">21.94</td><td class="align_center">22.62</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 18.6272ptpx;"><svg height="11.6314pt" id="M99" style="vertical-align:-5.48781pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -6.14359 18.6272 11.6314" width="18.6272pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M548 455L523 469C505 448 490 439 461 439C416 439 374 447 316 447C144 447 23 310 23 161C23 47 89 -12 179 -12C312 -12 429 106 429 244C429 303 419 344 368 386L371 388C404 383 440 378 474 378C507 378 530 411 548 455ZM350 274C350 191 308 25 198 25C144 25 108 75 108 157C108 264 170 395 276 395C296 395 320 384 333 360C347 334 350 316 350 274Z" id="g113-240"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="565" vert-adv-y="565"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.76,3.132)"><path d="M738 650H471V617C551 612 559 606 559 524V368H218V524C218 606 227 612 305 617V650H38V617C123 612 131 606 131 524V126C131 44 124 38 41 33V0H310V33C226 38 218 44 218 126V321H559V126C559 44 551 38 463 33V0H737V33C654 38 646 44 646 126V524C646 606 654 612 738 617V650Z" id="g58-70"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="777" vert-adv-y="777"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,13.602,3.132)"><path d="M472 439C432 432 382 428 334 425C303 442 271 451 236 451H235C158 451 54 398 54 285C54 216 97 171 140 152C124 133 93 105 53 90C52 81 55 63 64 48C77 27 102 5 137 -6C115 -22 77 -53 57 -73C40 -88 32 -107 32 -130C32 -189 96 -253 208 -253C340 -253 461 -159 461 -56C461 44 378 63 314 63C281 63 246 62 207 62C163 62 145 80 145 99C145 114 160 130 175 141C191 138 210 136 226 136C314 136 405 188 405 294C405 329 393 359 376 382L433 378C448 387 469 415 477 430L472 439ZM226 417C282 417 320 364 320 288S281 172 236 171C180 171 142 224 142 300S182 417 226 417ZM248 -9C291 -9 319 -11 346 -22S390 -57 390 -90C390 -151 339 -199 246 -199C171 -199 114 -159 114 -106C114 -79 132 -53 159 -30C178 -15 200 -9 248 -9Z" id="g58-101"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="479" vert-adv-y="479"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">19.34</td><td class="align_center">20.36</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 16.6725ptpx;"><svg height="11.6314pt" id="M100" style="vertical-align:-5.48781pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -6.14359 16.6725 11.6314" width="16.6725pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M548 455L523 469C505 448 490 439 461 439C416 439 374 447 316 447C144 447 23 310 23 161C23 47 89 -12 179 -12C312 -12 429 106 429 244C429 303 419 344 368 386L371 388C404 383 440 378 474 378C507 378 530 411 548 455ZM350 274C350 191 308 25 198 25C144 25 108 75 108 157C108 264 170 395 276 395C296 395 320 384 333 360C347 334 350 316 350 274Z" id="g113-240"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="565" vert-adv-y="565"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.76,3.132)"><path d="M522 0V30C462 35 455 41 455 106V280C455 397 397 451 314 451C262 451 206 414 171 379V710C131 698 69 682 20 675V647C87 642 90 637 90 574V106C90 41 80 35 20 30V0H236V30C176 35 171 43 171 106V339C198 371 237 391 276 391C341 391 374 350 374 269V106C374 43 367 35 308 30V0H522Z" id="g58-102"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="544" vert-adv-y="544"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.656,3.132)"><path d="M472 439C432 432 382 428 334 425C303 442 271 451 236 451H235C158 451 54 398 54 285C54 216 97 171 140 152C124 133 93 105 53 90C52 81 55 63 64 48C77 27 102 5 137 -6C115 -22 77 -53 57 -73C40 -88 32 -107 32 -130C32 -189 96 -253 208 -253C340 -253 461 -159 461 -56C461 44 378 63 314 63C281 63 246 62 207 62C163 62 145 80 145 99C145 114 160 130 175 141C191 138 210 136 226 136C314 136 405 188 405 294C405 329 393 359 376 382L433 378C448 387 469 415 477 430L472 439ZM226 417C282 417 320 364 320 288S281 172 236 171C180 171 142 224 142 300S182 417 226 417ZM248 -9C291 -9 319 -11 346 -22S390 -57 390 -90C390 -151 339 -199 246 -199C171 -199 114 -159 114 -106C114 -79 132 -53 159 -30C178 -15 200 -9 248 -9Z" id="g58-101"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="479" vert-adv-y="479"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">18.76</td><td class="align_center">19.34</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 11.727ptpx;"><svg height="11.927pt" id="M101" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 11.727 11.927" width="11.727pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M600 480C600 590 528 650 384 650H143L137 622C222 614 225 607 210 531L130 127C113 41 106 36 23 28L17 0H294L300 28C204 36 195 42 212 127L243 284L314 263C327 263 339 263 352 264C465 271 600 337 600 480ZM508 481C508 351 402 304 329 304C289 304 265 311 250 317L295 559C302 594 310 606 323 611C335 616 350 619 367 619C455 619 508 573 508 481Z" id="g113-81"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="617" vert-adv-y="617"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.656,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z" id="g50-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="487" vert-adv-y="487"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">10.11</td><td class="align_center">10.52</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="3"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

Normal faulting <i>in situ</i> stress regime [<a href="/journals/jpe/2016/3472158/#B6">4</a>].

Journal of Petroleum Engineering

Probabilistic Approach in Wellbore Stability Analysis during Drilling

Table 2