Research Article

Exchange Rates and Monetary Fundamentals: What Do We Learn from Linear and Nonlinear Regressions?

Table 11

Linear model estimations.

Euro/USDJapanese yen/USD

1.297600 (0.4824)−1.186818 (0.0000)
−1.749120 (0.4194)0.029403 (0.8006)
6.161777 (0.1613)2.995027 (0.5451)
−0.082095 (0.3253)0.000823 (0.8969)

Notes: the exchange rate change is calculated as and the corresponding contemporaneous monetary fundamentals are constructed as (see texts for detailed explanations); numbers not in parenthesis are the coefficient estimates; numbers in the parenthesis are the values for the corresponding parameter coefficient significance tests.