Research Article

In Search of Leading Indicator Property of Yield Spread for India: An Approach Based on Quantile and Wavelet Regression

Table 2

Estimation results of output growth and inflation prediction using yield spread.

MonthsCoefficientOutput growthInflation

= 2−0.15 (0.19)0.04 (0.04)
0.00−0.00

= 4−0.09 (0.19)−0.01 (0.04)
−0.00−0.00

= 6−0.01 (0.20)−0.05 (0.05)
−0.000.00

= 80.06 (0.22)0.04 (0.07)
−0.00−0.00