Research Article

Proposal of Two Prognostic Models for the Prediction of 10-Year Survival after Liver Resection for Colorectal Metastases

Table 2

Shown are the results of univariable binary logistic regression to determine the influence of each intraoperative variable on 10-year survival after liver resection. Odds ratios greater than 1 with a significant p value (p<0.05) indicate variables that increase the risk of mortality within 10 years significantly whereas odds ratios smaller than 1 with a significant p value indicate variables that decrease the risk of mortality within 10 years.

VariablesOdds Ratio95-Confidence intervalp-value

Intra-operative variablesLeft atypical liver resection1 point1.1550.537 – 2.4880.708
Right atypical liver resection0.9470.621 – 1.4440.801
Bilateral atypical liver resection2 points2.4481.165 – 5.1420.008
Left segmental liver resection0.7640.397 – 1.4680.430
Right segmental liver resection0.3520.192 – 0.6450.002
Left hemihepatectomy3 points2.4770.883 – 6.9510.512
Right hemihepatectomy4 points0.7810.521 – 1.1710.238
Extended left hepatectomy5 points1.1140.645 – 1.9220.696
Left hepatectomy and right atypical liver resection6 points---
Extended right hepatectomy1.1450.475 – 2.7590.760
Right hepatectomy and left atypical liver resection7 points1.0340.352 – 3.0350.951
Extent of resection (ordinal scale)not determined0.455
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 2 points1.0840.668 – 1.7600.745
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 3 points0.4180.143 – 1.2170.110
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 4 points1.2020.741 – 1.9490.455
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 5 points0.9050.491 – 1.6680.749
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 6 points0.7070.284 – 1.7600.456
Extent of resection 1 point vs. 7 points0.9630.316 – 2.9300.947
Operative duration in min1.0010.999 – 1.0020.568
Duration of Pringle’s procedure in min0.9830.973 – 0.9940.003
Complications yes/no1.7341.028 – 2.9250.030
Intraoperative transfusion of units of packed red blood cells1.0781.001 – 1.1610.031
Size of largest metastasis in mm1.0051.000 – 1.0110.039
Weight of liver specimen in kg1.2970.868 – 1.9390.188
Distance to resection margin in mm0.9720.960 – 0.986<0.001
Grading G1-G3 (ordinal scale)not determined0.173
Grading G1 vs. G21.8730.238 – 14.7490.551
Grading G1 vs. G30.7320.069 – 7.7990.796
R-status R0 (yes/no)0.3630.086 – 1.5370.111