Research Article

A Novel Risk-Prediction Scoring System for Sepsis among Patients with Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Analysis of a Large Clinical Database

Table 1

Baseline characteristics and outcome of participants.

VariablesTotalTraining setValidation set value

N1295906389
Age59 (47, 71)58 (47, 70)61 (47, 73)0.110
Gender (%)0.703
Male766 (59.2)539 (59.5)227 (58.4)
Female529 (40.8)367 (40.5)162 (41.6)
Ethnicity (%)0.064
White930 (71.8)655 (72.3)275 (70.7)
Black170 (13.1)107 (11.8)63 (16.2)
Other195 (15.1)144 (15.9)51 (13.1)
Weight (kg)81.3 (70,98.1)81 (69,95.7)82.1 (71.3,100)0.083
PE (%)0.545
No1100 (84.9)766 (84.5)334 (85.9)
Yes195 (15.1)140 (15.5)55 (14.1)
CCI4 (2, 6)4 (2, 6)5 (2, 7)0.341
GCS15 (15, 15)15 (15, 15)15 (15, 15)0.744
HR (min−1)94.3 (81.3, 107.6)94.8 (81.9, 107.6)93 (79.5, 107.7)0.341
MBP (mmHg)80.2 (72.2, 90.7)80.1 (71.8, 89.8)80.5 (72.6, 91.9)0.541
RR (min−1)20.2 (17.3, 23.7)20.2 (17.3, 23.6)20.1 (17.2, 24)0.796
Temperature (°C)36.9 (36.7, 37.3)36.9 (36.7, 37.3)36.9 (36.7, 37.3)0.647
Urine output (mL)180 (75,300)182.5 (75,300)175 (65,325)0.622
Spo2 (%)96.4 (95, 97.9)96.4 (95, 97.9)96.5 (94.9, 97.8)0.935
AG (mEq/L)15 (13, 18)15 (13, 18)15 (13, 19)0.759
Sodium (mEq/L)138 (135,141)138 (135,141)139 (136,141)0.067
Potassium (mEq/L)4 (3.7, 4.5)4 (3.6, 4.5)4 (3.7, 4.5)0.490
Magnesium (mEq/L)1.8 (1.6, 2.1)1.8 (1.6, 2.1)1.8 (1.6, 2.1)0.683
Calcium (mEq/L)8.2 (7.5, 8.7)8.2 (7.5, 8.7)8.2 (7.6, 8.7)0.477
Chloride (mEq/L)104 (99, 108)103.5 (99, 108)104 (99, 108)0.270
Phosphate (mEq/L)3.3 (2.5, 4.1)3.3 (2.5, 4.2)3.4 (2.7, 4.1)0.599
Bicarbonate (mEq/L)22 (19, 25)22 (19, 25)23 (19, 25)0.496
WBC (k/uL)11.9 (7.8, 17)12 (7.7, 17.1)11.6 (7.9, 16.7)0.355
RBC (m/uL)3.7 (3.2, 4.3)3.7 (3.2, 4.2)3.8 (3.2, 4.4)0.069
Platelet (k/uL)197 (138, 280.5)197 (135, 282)199 (142, 276)0.760
Hematocrit (%)34.3 (29.6, 39.3)34.2 (29.6, 39.1)34.6 (30, 40)0.137
MCHC (%)33.1 (32, 34.1)33.1 (32, 34.1)33 (32, 34.1)0.412
RDW (%)14.6 (13.6, 16.1)14.6 (13.7, 16.1)14.5 (13.5, 16.2)0.253
INR1.3 (1.1, 1.5)1.3 (1.1, 1.5)1.3 (1.1, 1.5)0.503
Creatinine (mg/dL)1 (0.7, 1.7)1 (0.7, 1.7)1 (0.7, 1.5)0.888
BUN (mg/dL)20 (12, 33)20 (12, 34)20 (12, 33)0.905
Lactate (mg/dL)1.7 (1.2, 2.7)1.7 (1.2, 2.7)1.6 (1.2, 2.7)0.782
Albumin (g/dL)3 (2.6, 3.5)3 (2.6, 3.6)3 (2.6, 3.5)0.473
Bilirubin (mg/dL)0.9 (0.5, 2.5)1 (0.5, 2.5)0.9 (0.5, 2.2)0.226
AP (IU/L)100 (68,169)99 (68,166)101 (68,173)0.945
AST (IU/L)60 (31,161)61 (31,160)59 (30,161)0.779
ALT (IU/L)46 (22,127)43 (21,123)54 (25,141)0.055
Glucose (mg/dL)123 (101,168)123 (100.2,169)124 (102,162)0.983
Lipase (IU/L)201 (61,823)196 (59.5,808.8)220 (64,890)0.422
LD (IU/dL)320 (221.5, 483.5)323 (221.2, 481)316 (223,490)0.804
BISAP2 (1, 2)2 (1, 2)2 (1, 2)0.384
SOFA1 (0, 3)1 (0, 3)1 (0, 3)0.358
qSOFA1 (0, 1)1 (0, 1)1 (0, 1)0.705
SIRS3 (2, 3)3 (2, 3)3 (2, 4)0.455
Sepsis (%)0.943
No554 (42.8)387 (42.7)167 (42.9)
Yes741 (57.2)519 (57.3)222 (57.1)

Abbreviations: PE, pleural effusion; CCI, Charlson_comorbidity_index; GCS, Glasgow Coma Scale; HR, heart rate; MBP, mean blood pressure; RR, respiratory rate; SpO2, percutaneous oxygen saturation; AG, anion gap; WBC, white blood cell; RBC, red blood cell; MCHC, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration; RDW, RBC distribution width; INR, international normalized ratio; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; AP, alkaline phosphatase; AST, aspartate transaminase; ALT, alanine transaminase; LD, lactate dehydrogenase; BISAP, blood urea nitrogen, impaired mental status, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, age and pleural effusion; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome.