Increased Chlorophyll Levels in the Southern Caspian Sea Following an Invasion of Jellyfish
A significant correlation was observed between satellite derived chlorophyll a (Chl a) concentrations and the biomass of the invasive comb jellyfish Mnemiopsis leidyi in the southern Caspian Sea. By consuming the herbivorous zooplankton, the predatory ctenophore M. leidyi may have caused levels of Chl a to rise to very high values ( mg ) in the southern Caspian Sea. There might also be several other factors concurrent with predation effects of M. leidyi influencing Chl a levels in this region, such as eutrophication and climatic changes which play major roles in nutrient, phytoplankton, and zooplankton variations. The decrease in pelagic fishes due to overfishing, natural, and anthropogenic impacts might have provided a suitable environment for M. leidyi to spread throughout this enclosed basin.
The Caspian Sea is the largest inland water body in the world sustaining large stocks of small commercially important zooplanktivorous, pelagic fish. In such ecosystems, a consistent, significant decrease in numbers of grazing zooplankton would be expected to result in a decrease in pelagic fish stocks and their predators.
Mnemiopsis leidyi is a highly fecund comb jelly feeding extensively on zooplankton. The main diet of this ctenophore in the southwestern Caspian Sea was found to be copepods (~45%) during May 2000–March 2001 , as found previously in the Black Sea . Predation impacts of M. leidyi on zooplanktic prey organisms have been previously demonstrated in its native waters, the western Atlantic , and in introduced regions [4, 5]. Furthermore, a recent study based on feeding experiments in the Caspian Sea suggested that the predation pressure of M. leidyi alone would be sufficient to suppress available stocks of zooplankton within a short period (1 day in summer and 3–8 days during winter/spring)  and thus would allow phytoplankton biomass to increase.
In the late 1990s, M. leidyi was transported into the Caspian Sea , possibly in ballast water  and spread throughout the Caspian Sea within a few years [1, 5, 7, 10]. Overfishing, eutrophication, and climatic changes (such as global warming) have been suggested as triggering factors of the blooms of jellyfish in both native and introduced waters [11–14]. Native predators (e.g., goby species ) of M. leidyi in the Caspian Sea did not appear to be as efficient as B. ovata, which feeds almost exclusively on M. leidyi , in the Black Sea, in consuming M. leidyi biomass .
At the end of the 1991–2000 period, in which relatively good recruitment and high spawning-stock biomass of anchovy kilka were recorded, fishing mortality (1.8 y-1) peaked in 1999 , which might have made kilka fish stocks vulnerable to external stress. Following the period of intensive overfishing and peak levels of M. leidyi (~900 g m-2 in 2001), a sharp decrease in fish catch data was observed . M. leidyi has already been suggested as the primary reason for the dramatic recruitment failure of anchovy kilka from 2001 to 2004 in the Caspian Sea . Other possible factors in the decline in kilka stocks could be related to natural (release of toxic gases by the activation of seismic plates , oil seeps from mud volcanoes ) and anthropogenic sources (e.g., oil leakage from petroleum industry ).
Despite the substantial decreases in zooplanktivorous fish and still available phytoplankton biomass (inferred from Chl levels), sharp declines in the zooplankton abundance, particularly in late summer-early autumn, could be related to predation by M. leidyi in our study (see Figure 1). When the surface waters cooled in winter, M. leidyi biomass decreased substantially and a limited recovery of zooplankton abundance was observed. The average zooplankton abundance in the summers and autumns of 2001 and 2002 was one order of magnitude lower compared to the period before M. leidyi invasion (see Table 1).
Before the M. leidyi invasion, the minimum and maximum monthly composite Chl levels in the southern Caspian were in October 1997 and in December 1998, respectively, (see Figure 1) but when M. leidyi spread into the Caspian, Chl levels gradually increased and reached extremely high levels in August 2001 contemporaneous with the highest recorded M. leidyi biomass and the lowest zooplankton abundance (see Figure 1). According to statistical analyses, in addition to there being a significant, positive linear relationship between levels of M. leidyi and Chl (Pearson test, , , , ), there was also a significant change in the seasonal cycle of Chl concentration, that is, the peak occurred in winter-spring before M. leidyi invaded and in late summer afterwards (see Figure 1 and also see supplementary material available at doi://10.1155/2007/85642 for methods and statistical analyses). Phytoplankton cell abundance was also much higher between 2001 and 2002, compared to years when M. leidyi was absent (see Table 1). Chl concentrations during the cooler months fell when M. leidyi levels had also decreased.
Inorganic nutrient concentrations were reported to be low according to a few available publications in the southern Caspian Sea [20, 21]. However, it was also noted that Iranian lagoons and coastal regions have been steadily polluted with anthropogenic sources (fertilisers and pesticides used in agriculture and increased nutrient load of river flows due to deforestation of woodland) since the early 1980s [22–24]. Thus, simultaneous rises in nutrient concentrations and M. leidyi biomass might also have contributed to increases in Chl values.
Unfortunately, it is difficult to assess the impacts of eutrophication and climate on phytoplankton and zooplankton abundance in the Caspian Sea due to a limitation in data availability. In the Black Sea, Oguz  suggested that severity of winters in 1992 and 1993 could cause an abrupt decrease of mesozooplankton and M. leidyi when fish stocks were at the lowest level and phytoplankton biomass was very high. Bilio and Niermann  also emphasized the possible effects of hydrological and meteorological regimes in the northern hemisphere on phyto and mesozooplankton changes. However, the relatively warm and stable temperature regime in the region (see also Figure 1) is unlikely to explain Chl variations observed herein.
The reduction in herbivory due to extremely low levels of zooplankton is a possible factor determining enormous levels of Chl observed in the SeaWiFS data. High turnover of nitrogen and phosphorus by M. leidyi excretion  would also contribute to this consistently high phytoplankton growth. If the relation between M. leidyi and phytoplankton (Chl ) is compared in two different seas, the Caspian and Black Seas; it is observed that M. leidyi reached ~2 times higher maximum biomass (2000 g m-2 in 1990) in the Black Sea  than in the Caspian Sea, while Chl concentrations were ~10 times lower in the former sea (basin-scale Chl ~1 mg m-3 ) than the latter. Small size composition of M. leidyi and the dominance of juvenile ctenophores [6, 28] might have played a role in faster removal of zooplankton [3, 6] from the Caspian Sea leading to high phytoplankton biomass. In addition, distinct hydrological, physical, chemical (e.g., nutrients originating from anthropogenic and natural sources), and biological characteristics might have also led to differences in Chl concentrations in these two seas.
There have been a large number of very marked changes in planktonic systems around the World in recent decades . While there is clearly a level of speculation in the approach of using correlation to infer the cause and impacts of such changes, correlation analysis has been widely used before and has certainly provided compelling evidence for gelatinous zooplankton having a variety of ecosystem effects [30, 31], some of which have been confirmed experimentally, for example, in mesocosm manipulations . Certainly invasive species have caused profound ecological and economic problems in many ecosystems around the world. One of these species, M. leidyi, might have contributed to elevated Chl levels in the Caspian Sea, associated with the effects of eutrophication.
This study is a cooperating project of the Census of Marine Zooplankton (CMarZ), a field project of the Census of Marine Life.
Monthly samples of gelatinous zooplankton Mnemiopsis leidyi were collected over a six year period from the southern Caspian Sea, counted and sorted according to different size groups with the naked eye. Individual weights were calculated from length measurements. Non-gelatinous zooplankton samples were often sampled simultaneously along with Mnemiopsis leidyi and analysed with an inverted microscope. Phytoplankton samples from the same sampling stations with M. leidyi were collected and analysed under microscope only between July 2001 and September 2002. Satellite chla data were obtained from the Sea-Viewing Wide-Field-of-View Sensor (SeaWiFS) and the Moderate Resolution Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Night time monthly average data of sea surface temperatures were derived from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometers (AVHRR).
The statistical tests between the two nested generalised additive models showed that the shape of the seasonal cycle changed during the period investigated.
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