An Application of Filtered Renewal Processes in Hydrology

Table 2

Criteria for comparing the forecasting models (Delaware River).

		Filtered renewal process				Filtered Poisson process
		Lognormal	Gamma	Weibull	Rayleigh	Exponential
𝑋(𝑡+1)	Mape	12.58%	12.49%	12.55%	12.56%	12.76%
	Nash	0.8288	0.8290	0.8287	0.8287	0.8356
	Pc	0.1674	0.1664	0.1663	0.1669	0.2522
	Corr	0.9188	0.9186	0.9180	0.9188	0.9187
𝑋(𝑡+2)	Mape	20.36%	20.33%	20.34%	20.34%	21.83%
	Nash	0.5447	0.5445	0.5445	0.5445	0.5573
	Pc	0.2930	0.2893	0.2869	0.2863	0.3344
	Corr	0.7735	0.7732	0.7731	0.7730	0.7734