Research Article
Accuracy of Nearly Extinct Cohort Methods for Estimating Very Elderly Subnational Populations
Table 2
Mean Absolute Percentage Error for females at ages 100+, by state.
| | | NSW | Vic | Qld | SA | WA | Tas-NT-ACT |
| | Prop SR NC | 6.2% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 23.4% | 18.3% | | Prop SR 90+ | 6.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 27.3% | 14.0% | | SR (5, 5, NC) | 6.8% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 39.9% | | Prop SR 85+ | 6.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 27.6% | 13.9% | | SR (5, 5, 90+) | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 34.1% | | SR (5, 5, 85+) | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 24.0% | 36.1% | | SRA (5, 5, NC, 10) | 13.0% | 17.2% | 27.5% | 33.2% | 29.8% | 60.3% | | DG (1, 5, 90+) | 13.2% | 14.8% | 27.4% | 28.1% | 41.5% | 55.4% | | DG (1, 5, 85+) | 14.9% | 16.6% | 30.6% | 30.1% | 43.3% | 58.8% | | DG (1, 5, NC) | 15.1% | 17.7% | 33.0% | 28.2% | 43.5% | 62.6% | | ABS ERP | 16.5% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 27.8% | 27.2% |
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Note: MAPEs for the most accurate method for each state have been highlighted in bold and MAPEs for ABS ERPs are highlighted in italics.
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