Research Article
Accuracy of Nearly Extinct Cohort Methods for Estimating Very Elderly Subnational Populations
Table 3
Mean Absolute Percentage Error for males at ages 100+, by state.
| | | NSW | Vic | Qld | SA | WA | Tas-NT-ACT |
| | Prop SR NC | 15.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 31.7% | | SR (5, 5, NC) | 16.0% | 24.1% | 22.6% | 30.3% | 53.1% | 44.9% | | SR (5, 5, 85+) | 19.3% | 27.7% | 25.4% | 33.0% | 55.1% | 45.4% | | SR (5, 5, 90+) | 20.4% | 27.5% | 26.1% | 34.0% | 52.8% | 44.6% | | SRA (5, 5, NC, 10) | 21.4% | 32.6% | 38.1% | 36.5% | 132.1% | 57.3% | | Prop SR 85+ | 24.4% | 12.5% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 33.0% | | Prop SR 90+ | 27.1% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 32.1% | | DG (1, 5, NC) | 32.9% | 33.7% | 34.8% | 89.1% | 59.5% | 76.9% | | DG (1, 5, 85+) | 33.2% | 42.8% | 35.5% | 85.2% | 55.5% | 72.2% | | DG (1, 5, 90+) | 34.9% | 43.3% | 35.7% | 80.9% | 50.9% | 74.4% | | ABS ERP | 53.2% | 39.7% | 47.3% | 27.4% | 71.4% | 55.3% |
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Note: MAPEs for the most accurate method for each state have been highlighted in bold and MAPEs for ABS ERPs are highlighted in italics.
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