Research Article

Simulation Analysis of Threshold Autoregressive Unit Root Tests

Table 6

MTAR symmetry testing in the presence of GARCH.

( 𝜙 1 , 𝜙 2 )
(0.01, 0.98) (0.05, 0.94) (0.10, 0.89) (0.15, 0.84) (0.25, 0.70)

Φ 𝜇 4.355.417.439.8011.62
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑤 4.984.945.295.425.46
𝑇 = 2 0 0 Φ 𝜇 , 𝑛 6.116.226.717.237.43
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑐 26.7130.7335.9540.2843.13
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑤 29.7330.0929.3728.9327.49
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑛 33.1533.9333.9834.0633.42

Φ 𝜇 4.506.129.3512.6414.41
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑤 4.684.824.905.095.10
𝑇 = 4 0 0 Φ 𝜇 , 𝑛 5.685.876.186.556.56
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑐 25.1130.2437.1943.1844.91
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑤 25.7226.0525.6624.8123.72
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑛 28.0628.6229.1529.1428.95

Φ 𝜇 4.737.1412.1217.0518.63
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑤 4.684.945.045.164.94
𝑇 = 8 0 0 Φ 𝜇 , 𝑛 5.205.405.846.306.29
Φ 𝜇 , 𝑐 21.6827.7037.2844.4544.76
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑤 21.4921.2721.0220.7020.04
Φ , 𝑐 𝜇 , 𝑛 22.6023.1924.0324.3224.09

The reported results represent empirical sizes of the test of the symmetry hypothesis at the 5% level of significance for the MTAR model under deterministic and consistent threshold estimation using alternative covariance matrix estimators. The results were derived over 20,000 simulations.