International Scholarly Research Notices / 2013 / Article / Tab 13

Research Article

Impacts of the Recent Expansion of the Sugarcane Sector on Municipal per Capita Income in São Paulo State

Table 13

Direct and indirect effects of sugarcane sector expansion on real per capita GDP (in $ of 2008 and as % of the average municipal per capita GDP in 2008), assuming that there is no replacement of any other farmland activity.

Expansion of the sugarcane cultivated area (in percentage points of the municipal area)
020406080100
DirectIndirectDirectIndirectDirectIndirectDirectIndirectDirectIndirectDirectIndirect

Contemporaneous$1901.4454.732052.5159.082203.5863.432354.6667.782505.7372.122656.8076.47
%22.5%0.6%24.2%0.7%26.0%0.7%27.8%0.8%29.6%0.9%31.4%0.9%
Years forward
 1$2997.68130.213235.85140.563474.02150.903712.19161.253950.36171.604188.53181.94
%35.4%1.5%38.2%1.7%41.0%1.8%43.8%1.9%46.6%2.0%49.5%2.1%
 2$3636.20209.263925.09225.884213.99242.514502.89259.134791.79275.765080.69292.38
%42.9%2.5%46.3%2.7%49.8%2.9%53.2%3.1%56.6%3.3%60.0%3.5%
 3$4012.74283.704331.56306.254650.38328.794969.20351.325288.01373.865606.83396.40
%47.4%3.3%51.1%3.6%54.9%3.9%58.7%4.1%62.4%4.4%66.2%4.7%
 4$4238.14350.174574.86377.994911.58405.815248.31433.635585.03461.455921.76489.27
%50.0%4.1%54.0%4.5%58.0%4.8%62.0%5.1%65.9%5.4%69.9%5.8%
 5$4375.43407.724723.06440.115070.69472.515418.33504.905765.96537.306113.59569.69
%51.7%4.8%55.8%5.2%59.9%5.6%64.0%6.0%68.1%6.3%72.2%6.7%
 6$4460.75456.634815.16492.925169.57529.205523.98565.485878.39601.766232.80638.04
%52.7%5.4%56.9%5.8%61.0%6.2%65.2%6.7%69.4%7.1%73.6%7.5%
 7$4514.97497.724873.68537.265232.40576.815591.12616.365949.84655.906308.56695.44
%53.3%5.9%57.5%6.3%61.8%6.8%66.0%7.3%70.3%7.7%74.5%8.2%
 8$4550.25531.964911.77574.225273.30616.495634.81658.755996.34701.026357.86743.28
%53.7%6.3%58.0%6.8%62.3%7.3%66.5%7.8%70.8%8.3%75.1%8.8%
 9$4573.78560.344937.17604.865300.57649.385663.96693.906027.35738.426390.74782.93
%54.0%6.6%58.3%7.1%62.6%7.7%66.9%8.2%71.2%8.7%75.5%9.2%
 10$4589.86583.784954.54630.165319.20676.555683.87722.936048.55769.316413.21815.69
%54.2%6.9%58.5%7.4%62.8%8.0%67.1%8.5%71.4%9.1%75.7%9.6%

Source: research results.
Effects calculated with the combination of the results shown in Tables 5 and 8.

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