Impacts of the Recent Expansion of the Sugarcane Sector on Municipal per Capita Income in São Paulo State
Table 14
Total effect of sugarcane sector expansion on real per capita GDP (in $ of 2008), assuming that there is no replacement of any other farmland activity.
Expansion of the sugarcane cultivated area (in percentage points of the municipal area)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Contemporaneous
2722.37
2830.52
2938.67
3046.81
3154.96
3263.11
3371.26
3479.40
3587.55
3695.70
3803.85
Years forward
1
4950.85
5147.53
5344.20
5540.88
5737.55
5934.23
6130.90
6327.58
6524.26
6720.93
6917.61
2
6775.04
7044.19
7313.33
7582.47
7851.61
8120.75
8389.90
8659.04
8928.19
9197.33
9466.47
3
8268.30
8596.75
8925.22
9253.68
9582.14
9910.61
10 239.07
10 567.53
10 895.99
11 224.45
11 552.92
4
9490.64
9867.66
10 244.68
10 621.70
10 998.72
11 375.74
11 752.77
12 129.79
12 506.80
12 883.83
13 260.85
5
10 491.23
10 908.00
11 324.77
11 741.54
12 158.31
12 575.08
12 991.85
13 408.62
13 825.39
14 242.15
14 658.92
6
11 310.29
11 759.60
12 208.91
12 658.21
13 107.52
13 556.83
14 006.14
14 455.44
14 904.75
15 354.06
15 803.37
7
11 980.76
12 456.70
12 932.64
13 408.58
13 884.53
14 360.47
14 836.42
15 312.36
15 788.30
16 264.24
16 740.18
8
12 529.59
13 027.34
13 525.08
14 022.83
14 520.57
15 018.32
15 516.06
16 013.81
16 511.55
17 009.30
17 507.04
9
12 978.86
13 494.45
14 010.04
14 525.63
15 041.22
15 556.82
16 072.41
16 588.00
17 103.60
17 619.19
18 134.78
10
13 346.62
13 876.82
14 407.02
14 937.22
15 467.42
15 997.62
16 527.83
17 058.03
17 588.23
18 118.43
18 648.63
Source: research results. Effects calculated with the combination of the results shown in Table 13.
