Research Article
Impacts of the Recent Expansion of the Sugarcane Sector on Municipal per Capita Income in São Paulo State
Table 5
Impact on real per capita GDP (in $ of 2008) of a 10 p.p. permanent increase in the share of farmland relative to the entire municipal area.
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Average municipal effect |
Accumulated average municipal effect | | Direct | Indirect | Direct | Indirect |
| Contemporaneous | 75.54 | 2.17 | 75.54 | 2.17 | Years forward | | | | | 1 | 43.55 | 3.00 | 119.08 | 5.17 | 2 | 25.37 | 3.14 | 144.45 | 8.31 | 3 | 14.96 | 2.96 | 159.41 | 11.27 | 4 | 8.96 | 2.64 | 168.36 | 13.91 | 5 | 5.45 | 2.28 | 173.81 | 16.20 | 6 | 3.39 | 1.95 | 177.21 | 18.14 | 7 | 2.15 | 1.63 | 179.36 | 19.77 | 8 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 180.76 | 21.13 | 9 | 0.93 | 1.13 | 181.69 | 22.26 | 10 | 0.64 | 0.93 | 182.33 | 23.19 |
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Source: research results. Indirect effects were divided by 15 in order to turn the results comparable at the municipal level.
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