Research Article
Concealed Handgun Licensing and Crime in Four States
Table 5
Multivariate analysis of changes in county crime rates per population of 100,000, using both one-year lagged and two-year lagged CHL (
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| Crimes | Change in CHL rate (one-year lag) | Change in CHL rate (two-year lag) | Model | prob.< | (se) | (se) |
| Personal | −4.35 (3.76) | 3.32 (3.79) | 2.9 | 0.000 | Property | −4.52 (7.55) | 6.82 (7.89) | 4.5 | 0.000 | Murder | 0.02 (0.50) | −0.03 (0.51) | 1.5 | 0.094 | Rape | −0.27 (0.82) | 0.62 (0.92) | 4.0 | 0.000 | Robbery | 0.85 (0.96) | 0.34 (1.00) | 3.2 | 0.000 | Assault | −4.74 (3.62) | 2.01 (3.54) | 3.3 | 0.000 | Burglary | −4.22 (4.71) | 5.22 (4.70) | 1.9 | 0.024 | Larceny | 4.15 (5.69) | −4.10 (6.17) | 5.4 | 0.000 | Auto theft | −0.68 (1.35) | −0.35 (1.45) | 3.6 | 0.000 |
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Logged. Year and state are included in models, but coefficients are not displayed. Across all models, variables representing states were significant.
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