Research Article
A Study of Time Series Model for Predicting Jute Yarn Demand: Case Study
Table 3
Forecasting errors under Holt’s method.
| Smoothing constant alpha (Level) | Smoothing constant gamma (Trend) | MAPE | MAD | MSD |
| 0.1 | 0.1 | 15 | 128 | 32880.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 15.9 | 136.7 | 36354.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 18 | 152.1 | 42391.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 14.2 | 119.8 | 29969.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 16.3 | 135.5 | 34575.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 17.8 | 147 | 38415.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 13.2 | 110.6 | 27050.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 14.5 | 120.4 | 30592.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 15.1 | 125.9 | 33875.7 |
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