Research Article

Improving Forecasts of the EGARCH Model Using Artificial Neural Network and Fuzzy Inference System

Table 8

Statistical properties of residual data.

Statistical properties of residual data

Min.−0.453063
Max.0.600486
Mean0.000000
Median−0.000187
Variance0.014241
Skewness0.169104
Kurtosis4.270338
Arch test value = 8.0384e − 09
Jarque–Bera test (for alpha = 0.05) value = 4.4409e − 16

Mean   smedian usually flags left skewness. Negative skewness means left-skewed data. Kurtosis >3 means larger peakedness than Gaussian. Arch test result with very small value implies existence of strong heteroskedasticity. Jarque–Bera test result with very small value implies that the residual series strongly follows Student’s t-distribution.