Research Article
Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region
Table 5
Prediction of
parameter under three scenarios.
| Province | Years | 2000–2020 | 2005–2020 | 2010–2020 |
| Shandong | 2021–2025 | 0.020 | 0.030 | 0.040 | 2026–2030 | 0.022 | 0.032 | 0.045 | 2031–2035 | 0.024 | 0.034 | 0.050 | 2036–2040 | 0.026 | 0.036 | 0.055 | 2041–2045 | 0.028 | 0.038 | 0.060 | 2046–2050 | 0.030 | 0.040 | 0.065 |
| Liaoning | 2021–2025 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 2026–2030 | 0 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 2031–2035 | 0.001 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 2036–2040 | 0.002 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 2041–2045 | 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 2046–2050 | 0.004 | 0.011 | 0.011 |
| Hebei | 2021–2025 | 0.002 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 2026–2030 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.012 | 2031–2035 | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.014 | 2036–2040 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.016 | 2041–2045 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.018 | 2046–2050 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.020 |
| Shanxi | 2021–2025 | −0.008 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 2026–2030 | −0.006 | 0.012 | 0.020 | 2031–2035 | −0.004 | 0.014 | 0.030 | 2036–2040 | −0.002 | 0.016 | 0.040 | 2041–2045 | 0 | 0.018 | 0.050 | 2046–2050 | 0.002 | 0.02 | 0.060 |
| Inner Mongolia | 2021–2025 | 0.010 | 0.015 | 0.020 | 2026–2030 | 0.015 | 0.020 | 0.025 | 2031–2035 | 0.020 | 0.025 | 0.030 | 2036–2040 | 0.025 | 0.030 | 0.035 | 2041–2045 | 0.030 | 0.035 | 0.040 | 2046–2050 | 0.035 | 0.040 | 0.045 |
| Beijing | 2021–2025 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.002 | 2026–2030 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.005 | 2031–2035 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 2036–2040 | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 2041–2045 | 0.011 | 0.012 | 0.014 | 2046–2050 | 0.013 | 0.014 | 0.017 |
| Tianjin | 2021–2025 | 0 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 2026–2030 | 0.005 | 0.012 | 0.016 | 2031–2035 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 | 2036–2040 | 0.015 | 0.016 | 0.020 | 2041–2045 | 0.020 | 0.018 | 0.022 | 2046–2050 | 0.025 | 0.020 | 0.024 |
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