Research Article

Regional Heterogeneity of Carbon Emissions and Peaking Path of Carbon Emissions in the Bohai Rim Region

Table 5

Prediction of parameter under three scenarios.

ProvinceYears2000–20202005–20202010–2020

Shandong2021–20250.0200.0300.040
2026–20300.0220.0320.045
2031–20350.0240.0340.050
2036–20400.0260.0360.055
2041–20450.0280.0380.060
2046–20500.0300.0400.065

Liaoning2021–2025−0.0010.0010.001
2026–203000.0030.003
2031–20350.0010.0050.005
2036–20400.0020.0070.007
2041–20450.0030.0090.009
2046–20500.0040.0110.011

Hebei2021–20250.0020.0070.010
2026–20300.0040.0080.012
2031–20350.0060.0090.014
2036–20400.0080.0100.016
2041–20450.0100.0110.018
2046–20500.0120.0120.020

Shanxi2021–2025−0.0080.0100.010
2026–2030−0.0060.0120.020
2031–2035−0.0040.0140.030
2036–2040−0.0020.0160.040
2041–204500.0180.050
2046–20500.0020.020.060

Inner Mongolia2021–20250.0100.0150.020
2026–20300.0150.0200.025
2031–20350.0200.0250.030
2036–20400.0250.0300.035
2041–20450.0300.0350.040
2046–20500.0350.0400.045

Beijing2021–20250.0030.0040.002
2026–20300.0050.0060.005
2031–20350.0070.0080.008
2036–20400.0090.0100.011
2041–20450.0110.0120.014
2046–20500.0130.0140.017

Tianjin2021–202500.0100.014
2026–20300.0050.0120.016
2031–20350.0100.0140.018
2036–20400.0150.0160.020
2041–20450.0200.0180.022
2046–20500.0250.0200.024