Forecasting the Cumulative Confirmed Cases with the FGM and Fractional-Order Buffer Operator in Different Stages of COVID-19
Table 4
The prediction performance.
FGM
FGM + WBO
GM (1, 1)
MAPE (%)
RMSE
MAPE (%)
RMSE
MAPE (%)
RMSE
ITA
0.938
1941.600
0.724
1056.425
3.314
4421.660
ESP
0.527
1195.532
0.114
262.480
0.867
2332.846
GBR
1.380
1912.883
1.380
1912.883
4.836
6042.056
JPN
1.370
198.692
0.572
84.863
3.201
576.989
USA
0.453
4070.153
0.464
3822.088
3.932
27981.766
RSA
1.534
9100.926
1.430
8387.564
1.539
9069.371
CHN
0.757
763.740
0.354
303.324
0.576
536.375
ITA, EPS, GBR, JPN, USA, RSA, and CHN indicate Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, Japan, the United States, the Republic of South Africa, and mainland China separately.