Research Article

Grey Forecast Model with Aging Fractional Accumulation and Its Properties

Table 3

The fitting and predicted values of nine models.

ModelFitting valueTesting value
MAPEMAERMSEMAPEMAE

AGM (1, 1)0.435.9247.950.1113.03
EFGM0.5850.8169.041.13134.43
LSSVR1.0691.36131.087.96949.89
ANN1.61130.34147.580.6375.49
ARIMA0.6348.0854.826.88821.07
DGM (1, 1)1.65135.68168.633.64434.92
Verhulst22.351597.682161.3912.381477.09
GM (1, 1)1.64135.21168.553.57426.49
FGM (1, 1)0.8572.2687.481.46174.66

The smallest values of these model errors are in bold.