Research Article
Grey Forecast Model with Aging Fractional Accumulation and Its Properties
Table 3
The fitting and predicted values of nine models.
| Model | Fitting value | Testing value | MAPE | MAE | RMSE | MAPE | MAE |
| AGM (1, 1) | 0.4 | 35.92 | 47.95 | 0.11 | 13.03 | EFGM | 0.58 | 50.81 | 69.04 | 1.13 | 134.43 | LSSVR | 1.06 | 91.36 | 131.08 | 7.96 | 949.89 | ANN | 1.61 | 130.34 | 147.58 | 0.63 | 75.49 | ARIMA | 0.63 | 48.08 | 54.82 | 6.88 | 821.07 | DGM (1, 1) | 1.65 | 135.68 | 168.63 | 3.64 | 434.92 | Verhulst | 22.35 | 1597.68 | 2161.39 | 12.38 | 1477.09 | GM (1, 1) | 1.64 | 135.21 | 168.55 | 3.57 | 426.49 | FGM (1, 1) | 0.85 | 72.26 | 87.48 | 1.46 | 174.66 |
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The smallest values of these model errors are in bold.
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