Research Article
Forecasting Chinese Wind Power Installed Capacity Using a Novel Grey Model with Parameters Combination Optimization
Table 2
Simulated/forecast results of wind power installed capacity with different models.
| Year | Raw data | | | | | | | RSPE (%) | | RSPE (%) | | RSPE (%) | | RSPE (%) |
| In-sample | 2009 | 25810 | 25810 | 0 | 25810 | 0 | 25810 | 0 | 25810 | 0 | 2010 | 44730 | 45935.00 | 2.69 | 44071.24 | 1.47 | 46297.13 | 3.50 | 44730.00 | 0.00 | 2011 | 62360 | 59636.23 | 4.37 | 61020.49 | 2.15 | 60183.19 | 3.49 | 61752.99 | 0.97 | 2012 | 75320 | 75249.90 | 0.09 | 74840.64 | 0.64 | 76010.17 | 0.91 | 75870.77 | 0.73 | 2013 | 91410 | 93042.95 | 1.79 | 91733.92 | 0.35 | 94049.37 | 2.89 | 93158.78 | 1.91 | 2014 | 114610 | 113319.57 | 1.13 | 112410.27 | 1.92 | 114610.00 | 2.01 | 114355.56 | 0.22 | | | 2.01 | | 1.31 | | 2.16 | | 0.77 |
| Out-sample | 2015 | 145360 | 136426.44 | 6.15 | 137726.78 | 5.25 | 138044.50 | 5.03 | 140354.90 | 3.44 | 2016 | 168730 | 162758.61 | 3.54 | 168729.99 | 0.00 | 164754.56 | 2.36 | 172250.14 | 2.09 | | 4.84 | 2.63 | 3.69 | 2.76 | CRMPE | 2.82 | 1.68 | 2.60 | 1.34 |
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