Migration, Occupational Mobility, and Regional Escalators in Scotland

Table 5

Probability of staying in high occupational status group in 2001 for individuals already in high occupational status group 1991.

	Model 5			Model 6			Model 7			Model 8
	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig
Country of birth (reference = Scotland)
Born England or Wales	0.309	0.076	***	0.065	0.084					0.068	0.084
Born outside UK	0.735	0.152	***	0.317	0.166	*				0.307	0.166	*
Place of residence 2001 by mobility between 1991 and 2001 (reference = low job access no move)
Glasgow no move							0.123	0.149		0.052	0.165
Glasgow short move							0.237	0.146		0.182	0.165
Glasgow long move							0.525	0.295	*	0.206	0.324
Edinburgh no move							0.121	0.164		−0.098	0.182
Edinburgh short move							0.374	0.165	**	0.060	0.183
Edinburgh long move							0.457	0.313		−0.090	0.340
Cities no move							−0.053	0.140		−0.022	0.155
Cities short move							−0.126	0.137		−0.148	0.154
Cities long move							0.082	0.184		−0.066	0.206
Medium job access no move							0.063	0.146		−0.019	0.161
Medium job access short move							0.143	0.142		0.079	0.158
Medium job access long move							0.478	0.193	***	0.193	0.210
Low job access short move							−0.193	0.176		−0.265	0.194
Low job access long move							0.191	0.229		−0.201	0.253
Gender (reference = female)				−0.202	0.049	***				−0.202	0.049	***
Age				−0.016	0.003	***				−0.015	0.004	***
Ethnic minority (reference = not ethnic minority)				0.229	0.403					0.199	0.404
Change in presence of children (reference = no children 1991 and 2001)
No child 1991, child 2001				−0.059	0.080					−0.069	0.081
Child 1991 and 2001				0.149	0.070	**				0.149	0.070	***
Child 1991 and no child 2001				0.160	0.065	***				0.166	0.065
Change in household (reference = couple 1991 and 2001)
Couple 1991 and single 2001				0.064	0.102					0.066	0.103
Single 1991 and 2001				−0.037	0.080					−0.041	0.081	**
Single 1991 and couple 2001				−0.025	0.080					−0.026	0.081
Change in health (reference = no ill health 1991 and 2001)
Ill health 1991 and 2001				0.331	0.386					0.350	0.386
Ill health 1991				−0.213	0.255					−0.206	0.255
Ill health 2001				−0.269	0.098	***				−0.263	0.099	***
Post-18 qualifications 1991 (reference = no qualifications)
Vocational				1.490	0.060	***				1.492	0.060	***
Degree or higher				2.070	0.080	***				2.061	0.081	***
Tenure 1991 (reference = owner occupier)
Social renting				−0.606	0.070	***				−0.611	0.070	***
Private renting				−0.434	0.097	***				−0.427	0.099	***
Constant	1.558	0.023	***	1.540	0.150	***	1.538	0.129	***	1.537	0.218	***
Initial log likelihood	−7059.154
Log likelihood	−7037.344			−5932.301			−7029.399			−5920.315
Pseudo 𝑅^2	0.003			0.121			0.004			0.122
Number of observations	15,024

* 𝑃<0.1, **𝑃<0.05, ***𝑃<0.001.
Source: calculations done by the authors using data from the SLS.