Research Article

An Introduction to a New Space Debris Evolution Model: SOLEM

Table 2

Quantification of evolution results of the three scenarios simulated by SOLEM model.

simulationsPMD rate% of Variation wrt Initial population after 200 yearsAverage catastrophic collision rate in future

Scenario 130%+115%1/6 years
Scenario 260%+23%1/8 years
Scenario 390%-30%1/13 years