COVID-19 Epidemic in Sri Lanka: A Mathematical and Computational Modelling Approach to Control

<div>The simulation of model 2 considering the varying levels of the control parameter <svg height="6.1673pt" id="M66" style="vertical-align:-0.2063904pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 7.11985 6.1673" width="7.11985pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M515 96L502 119C471 88 431 62 423 62C416 62 411 70 417 101C440 223 469 341 497 448H486L412 422L380 277C330 188 210 57 152 57C137 57 126 69 139 124L195 366C210 431 205 448 182 448C155 448 89 413 23 350L36 326C73 354 103 376 112 376C118 376 118 365 113 340L61 118C54 90 52 68 52 51C52 0 75 -12 98 -12S151 -3 181 17C242 58 305 119 362 193H364L345 104C323 3 339 -12 359 -12C390 -12 464 35 515 96Z"></path></g></svg> and the time effect of the decision to shut down the airport. The rest of the parameter values used for the simulation are <span class="nowrap"><svg height="12.7178pt" id="M67" style="vertical-align:-3.42947pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 38.1062 12.7178" width="38.1062pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,11.186,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z"></path></g><g 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href="/journals/cmmm/2020/4045064/#B16">16</a>, <a href="/journals/cmmm/2020/4045064/#B18">18</a>, <a href="/journals/cmmm/2020/4045064/#B19">19</a>].</div>

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

fig6

Figure 6

Figure 6: COVID-19 Epidemic in Sri Lanka: A Mathematical and Computational Modelling Approach to Control 