Research Article
Predicting Social Unrest Events with Hidden Markov Models Using GDELT
Table 4
Initial state transition matrix
and initial state probabilities
for Thailand.
(a) |
| 0.2781 | 0.4172 | 0.1339 | 0.0877 | 0.0831 | 0.0999 | 0.5758 | 0.1538 | 0.0897 | 0.0808 | 0.1035 | 0.3398 | 0.3347 | 0.1196 | 0.1024 | 0.1117 | 0.3506 | 0.1178 | 0.2810 | 0.1389 | 0.1153 | 0.3362 | 0.1210 | 0.0878 | 0.3397 |
|
|
(b) |
| 0.1263 | | 0.4586 | | 0.1746 | | 0.1168 | | 0.1237 | |
|
|