Research Article

VECM Model Analysis of Carbon Emissions, GDP, and International Crude Oil Prices

Table 7

VECM estimation results and test.

Error Correction:D(LCP)D(LGDP)D(LOP)

CointEq1-0.104234 [-2.58593]-7.268381[-2.24355]-2.133611[-7.90997]
D(LCP(-1))-0.961687[-23.9237] 4.000415[1.23820] 1.308053[4.86264]
D(LCP(-2))-0.954550[-24.0919] 4.273666[1.34204] 0.803946[3.03216]
D(LCP(-3))-0.919406[-31.5065] 4.670270[1.99125] 0.556109[2.84777]
D(LGDP(-1))-0.000414[-0.31978]-0.640796[-6.16527]-0.029396[-3.39685]
D(LGDP(-2))-0.000291[-0.20219]-0.152107[-1.31289]-0.014040[-1.45546]
D(LGDP(-3)) 0.001903[1.50015]-0.251021[-2.46167]-0.019500[-2.29678]
D(LOP(-1)) 0.076443[3.11551] 7.501668[3.80402] 0.880550[5.36292]
D(LOP(-2)) 0.045991[2.36590] 1.857454[1.18885] 0.308622[2.37246]
D(LOP(-3)) 0.030246[1.86907] 3.918942[3.01310] 0.396354[3.66007]
C 0.004684[0.04941] 0.733444[0.09628]-0.167900[-0.26471]

R-squared 0.957803 0.390277 0.551367

Log likelihood-1223.996
Akaike information criterion 21.35586
Schwarz criterion 22.20116