Research Article
Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy
Table 1
Parameter descriptions and values; the initial data are corresponding to the 19 March 2020 for Morocco [
20].
| Parameter | Description | Estimated values for Morocco |
| | The infection rate | 0.309038973249694 | | The reduced chances of a partially controlled individual to be infected | 0.790453244925308 | | The recruitment rate of susceptibles to the partially controlled class | 0.198352095739391 | | The recruitment rate of susceptibles to the totally controlled class | 0.0609987020406361 | | Death due to the infection | 0.010653085736073 | | Treatment rate | 0.00853317853991 | | Recovery rate | 0.00112696312179574 | | Immunity loss rate | | | The inhibition effect due to resource limitation to awareness controls | | | The effect of the lockdown | 0.0372352811096721 | | Initial susceptible population | 34500000 | | Initial partially controlled population | 0 | | Initial totally controlled population | 0 | | Initial infected population | 63 | | Initial removed population | 2 | 0 | Initial dead population | 2 |
|
|