Review Article

A Review of Traffic Congestion Prediction Using Artificial Intelligence

Table 4

The strength and weakness of the models of probabilistic reasoning.

MethodologyAdvantagesDisadvantages

Fuzzy logic(i) It converts the binary value into the linguistic description hence portraying the traffic congestion state.(i) No appropriate membership function shape selection method exists.
(ii) iIt can portray more than two states.(ii) Traffic pattern recognition capability is not as durable as ML algorithms.
(iii) As it does not need an exact crisp input, it can deal with uncertainty.(iii) Traffic state may not match the actual traffic state as the outcome is not exact.
Hidden Markov model(i) The model can overcome noisy measurements.(i) Accuracy decreases with scarce temporal probe trajectory data
(ii) Can efficiently learn from non-preprocessed data.(ii) Not suitable in case of missing dataset.
(iii) Can evaluate multiple hypotheses of the actual mapping simultaneously.ā€‰
Gaussian mixture model(i) Can do traffic parameter distribution over a period as a mixture regardless of the traffic state.(i) Optimization algorithm used with GMM must be chosen cautiously.
(ii) Can overcome the limitation of not being able to account for multimodal output by a single Gaussian process.(ii) Results may show wrong traffic patterns due to local optima limitation and lack of traffic congestion threshold knowledge of the optimisation algorithm.
Bayesian network(i) It can understand the underlying relationship between random variables.(i) Computationally expensive.
(ii) It can model and analyse traffic parameters between adjacent road links.(ii) The model performs poorly with the increment in data.
(iii) The model can work with incomplete data.(iii) The model represents one-directional relation between variables only.