Research Article
Deterministic Echo State Networks Based Stock Price Forecasting
Table 4
Comparison of ESN and three deterministic ESN models by average forecasting accuracy (MSE) and stability improvement (%).
| Stocks | Average forecasting accuracy | Stability improvement (%) | ESN | DLR | DLRB | SCR | DLR | DLRB | SCR |
| Minsheng Bank | 0.01097 | 0.01118 | 0.01121 | 0.01118 | −11.83 | −30.99 | −9.66 | Sinopec | 0.02155 | 0.01092 | 0.01125 | 0.01089 | 98.04 | 98.13 | 98.38 | Baotou Steel Rare Earth | 2.18330 | 2.36140 | 2.32180 | 2.35490 | −42.67 | −19.43 | −42.68 | Yangquan Coal Industry | 0.20609 | 0.18508 | 0.18552 | 0.18415 | 69.47 | 66.43 | 67.29 | The Gemdale Group | 0.02499 | 0.02383 | 0.02385 | 0.02382 | 42.46 | 43.31 | 46.34 | China Shenhua | 0.12363 | 0.11524 | 0.11603 | 0.11537 | 67.26 | 60.85 | 65.96 | Western Mining | 0.03783 | 0.03275 | 0.03313 | 0.03278 | 81.06 | 78.36 | 79.57 | China Life | 0.16336 | 0.15640 | 0.15747 | 0.15717 | 39.28 | 42.17 | 36.40 | Luan Huanneng | 0.32304 | 0.31968 | 0.31931 | 0.31875 | 40.16 | 45.31 | 47.00 | PetroChina | 0.01200 | 0.00745 | 0.00756 | 0.00745 | 97.60 | 97.16 | 97.51 | China COSCO | 0.03419 | 0.01448 | 0.01492 | 0.01460 | 98.86 | 98.74 | 98.72 |
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