Abstract and Applied Analysis / 2015 / Article / Fig 1

Research Article

A Probabilistic Analysis to Quantify the Effect of March 11, 2004, Attacks in Madrid on the March 14 Elections in Spain: A Dynamic Modelling Approach

Figure 1

Evolution of the percentage of voting intention and abstention in CIS surveys from October 2002 until January 2004, the last one before elections of March 14, 2004 [12]. Only in April 2003, the PSOE voting intention was above the one of the PP. According to [2], this happened because public opinion in Spain was more widely opposed to the country’s involvement in the Iraq war at the beginning of 2003.

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