A Probabilistic Analysis to Quantify the Effect of March 11, 2004, Attacks in Madrid on the March 14 Elections in Spain: A Dynamic Modelling Approach
Percentiles 2.5 (lower black points), 97.5 (upper black points), and the mean (red points corresponding to data from Table 1) of data. The percentiles determine the 95% confidence intervals. These confidence intervals capture 95% of data uncertainty.
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