Research Article

Nonparametric Binary Recursive Partitioning for Deterioration Prediction of Infrastructure Elements

Table 7

Comparison of proposed BRP method with three existing wrapper methods.

Factors consideredProposed BRP methodExisting wrapper methods
BaggingBoostingFeature section

Bridge Deck condition Assessment MeasureCondition rating from 0 to 9 from the poorest condition to near-perfect conditionHealth index with 0–100% from worst to best conditionHealth index with 0–100% from the worst to the best conditionHealth index with 0–100% from the worst to the best condition
Basic Concept of the MethodSplit or partition each node into two child nodes iteratively until reaching convergenceGenerate multiple trees to get tree predictors and use them to achieve an aggregate predictorUse DTA as the learning algorithm to construct different predictors by changing the distributionSpecify an appropriate subset of features by searching different subsets to improve prediction accuracy
Sample SizeApproximate 5,500 bridges with 25 years detailed information222 bridges from KDOT bridge database222 bridges from KDOT database222 bridges from KDOT database
Prediction Accuracy62–92% for 4 classes63%–74%63%–73%65%–75%
84–95% for 2 classes
Ease of UseConsists of four basic analytical steps: tree building, stopping tree building, tree pruning and optimal tree selection. Fully automatic and straightforward to useDifferent random trees need to be built to get predictors and prediction accuracy. Deck health index needs to be manually computedMultiple runs required to achieve the most appropriate weight for each instance. Deck health index needs to be manually computedMultiple subsets of features need to be evaluated to get the optimal subset. Deck health index needs to be manually computed. Some results may be misleading