Research Article
Developing Pavement Distress Deterioration Models for Pavement Management System Using Markovian Probabilistic Process
Table 8
Probability distribution values from the Markov model for all five indices.
| Transverse cracking index | Index | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
| 100 | 0.631 | 0.398 | 0.251 | 0.158 | 0.1 | 95 | 0.369 | 0.451 | 0.413 | 0.336 | 0.257 | 90 | 0 | 0.151 | 0.267 | 0.314 | 0.308 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0.069 | 0.167 | 0.252 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.024 | 0.072 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.011 | Fatigue cracking index | | | | | | 100 | 0.885 | 0.783 | 0.692 | 0.612 | 0.542 | 95 | 0.115 | 0.166 | 0.182 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 90 | 0 | 0.052 | 0.111 | 0.16 | 0.195 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0.015 | 0.041 | 0.071 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | Longitudinal cracking index | | | | | | 100 | 0.82 | 0.673 | 0.552 | 0.453 | 0.372 | 95 | 0.18 | 0.311 | 0.405 | 0.469 | 0.51 | 90 | 0 | 0.015 | 0.039 | 0.064 | 0.088 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 0.01 | 0.016 | Ride quality index | | | | | | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | 90 | 0.748 | 0.56 | 0.419 | 0.314 | 0.235 | 85 | 0.251 | 0.384 | 0.441 | 0.449 | 0.429 | 80 | 0 | 0.055 | 0.129 | 0.202 | 0.262 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0.011 | 0.034 | 0.069 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 0.005 | Rut index | | | | | | 100 | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.81 | 0.775 | 0.704 | 95 | 0.068 | 0.129 | 0.184 | 0.234 | 0.279 | 90 | 0 | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.01 | 0.016 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 |
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