Research Article

Predictive Analysis of Settlement Risk in Tunnel Construction: A Bow-Tie-Bayesian Network Approach

Table 11

Probability of equipment fault.

EventSurface settlement δmax,i (mm)Permitted surface settlement δi (mm)Value of TBM parameterOccurrence rate (d−1)Occurrence probability (in 1 year)

X98.915302 kPa1.0675e − 043.82e − 02
X108.4102974 kN·M1.7792e − 046.29e − 02
X118.615143 kPa7.1167e − 052.56e − 02
X129.81513100 kN1.4233e − 045.06e − 02
X1312.01541 mm/min2.8467e − 049.87e − 02

All data were obtained from the operation log of the XWS.