Research Article

Implementation of Process-Based and Data-Driven Models for Early Prediction of Construction Time

Table 6

Model accuracy results for (a) training and (b) validating data by using only data-driven GRNN model (using the 10-fold cross-validation method) [63].

(a) Training data
Mean target value for input data286.90647
Mean target value for predicted values286.19978
Variance in input data99430.392
Residual (unexplained) variance after model fit2319.0624
Proportion of variance explained by model (R2)0.97668 (97.668%)
Coefficient of variation (CV)0.167848
Normalized mean square error (NMSE)0.023323
Correlation between actual and predicted target values0.988279
Maximum error300.05113
RMSE (root mean squared error)48.156644
MSE (mean squared error)2319.0624
MAE (mean absolute error)21.681144
MAPE (mean absolute percentage error)19.471364

(b) Validation data
Mean target value for input data286.90647
Mean target value for predicted values285.08662
Variance in input data99430.392
Residual (unexplained) variance after model fit24222.689
Proportion of variance explained by model (R2)0.75639 (75.639%)
Coefficient of variation (CV)0.542464
Normalized mean square error (NMSE)0.243615
Correlation between actual and predicted target values0.879069
Maximum error1002
RMSE (root mean squared error)155.6364
MSE (mean squared error)24222.689
MAE (mean absolute error)74.291454
MAPE (mean absolute percentage error)31.79981