Research Article
Estimating Solar Insolation and Power Generation of Photovoltaic Systems Using Previous Day Weather Data
Table 5
Accuracies of predicted value ranges according to the input variables, NHN, and NHL.
| Input variables | Number of hidden layers | RMSE (kWh/m2/day) | MBE (kWh/m2/day) | MAE (kWh/m2/day) | NSE |
| Thigh, Tlow, RH, DWS, PR, PD, SD, CSD, CC | 1 | 1.764–2.000 | −0.891 to −0.787 | 1.368–1.529 | −0.503 to −0.169 | 2 | 1.763–2.023 | −0.811 to −0.649 | 1.355–1.552 | −0.920 to −0.210 | 3 | 1.760–2.015 | −0.840 to −0.568 | 1.373–1.506 | −1.092 to −0.164 | 4 | 1.799–2.015 | −0.903 to −0.711 | 1.382–1.559 | −0.937 to −0.216 | 5 | 1.793–2.102 | −0.853 to −0.589 | 1.366–1.631 | −1.068 to −0.207 |
| Thigh, Tlow, RH, DWS, SD, CSD, CC | 1 | 1.975–2.227 | −1.301 to −0.969 | 1.515–1.692 | −0.292 to −0.016 | 2 | 1.975–2.138 | −1.076 to −0.714 | 1.550–1.635 | −0.162 to −0.016 | 3 | 1.792–2.318 | −1.221 to −0.567 | 1.432–1.773 | −0.391 to 0.164 | 4 | 1.889–2.187 | −1.005 to −0.547 | 1.436–1.632 | −0.245 to 0.071 | 5 | 1.807–2.338 | −1.227 to −0.419 | 1.444–1.773 | −0.423 to 0.150 |
| Thigh, Tlow, RH, DWS, SD, CSD | 1 | 1.425–1.506 | −0.272 to −0.129 | 1.157–1.204 | 0.411–0.473 | 2 | 1.423–1.597 | −0.400 to −0.090 | 1.131–1.297 | 0.337–0.474 | 3 | 1.421–1.660 | −0.376 to −0.114 | 1.131–1.342 | 0.284–0.482 | 4 | 1.444–1.692 | −0.464 to −0.121 | 1.148–1.372 | 0.256–0.458 | 5 | 1.450–1.720 | −0.291 to −0.118 | 1.153–1.405 | −0.338 to 0.454 |
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The NHN for each layer was conducted by changing both to 10–20.a |