Assessing the Risk Probability of the Embankment Seismic Damage Using Monte Carlo Method

Table 4

Seismic fragility assessment results of the embankment fill-soil foundation system.

PGA	Exceeding probability
	Slight damage	Moderate damage	Severe damage	Destruction
0.1	0.024792	0.000404	0.000000	0.000000
0.2	0.372665	0.043532	0.000976	0.000005
0.3	0.736894	0.225876	0.016226	0.001590
0.4	0.905566	0.471158	0.072330	0.011616
0.5	0.967225	0.675516	0.175902	0.040752
0.6	0.988473	0.812256	0.308519	0.094932
0.7	0.995818	0.894475	0.446065	0.171937
0.8	0.998425	0.941370	0.571457	0.264071
0.9	0.999384	0.967470	0.676721	0.362276
1.0	0.999750	0.981867	0.760416	0.458867
1.1	0.999895	0.989810	0.824583	0.548568
1.2	0.999954	0.994215	0.872583	0.628452
1.3	0.999979	0.996678	0.907898	0.697420
1.4	0.999990	0.998070	0.933597	0.755594
1.5	0.999995	0.998865	0.952167	0.803811
1.6	0.999998	0.999325	0.965531	0.843247
1.7	0.999999	0.999594	0.975128	0.875180
1.8	0.999999	0.999753	0.982016	0.900841
1.9	1.000000	0.999848	0.986963	0.921346
2.0	1.000000	0.999905	0.990522	0.937663
2.1	1.000000	0.999940	0.993087	0.950610
2.2	1.000000	0.999962	0.994940	0.960862
2.3	1.000000	0.999976	0.996284	0.968971
2.4	1.000000	0.999984	0.997260	0.975379
2.5	1.000000	0.999990	0.997973	0.980444
2.6	1.000000	0.999993	0.998495	0.984448