Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate
Table 1
Average confidence and information gain for forecasts and trend extrapolation.
Temperature
Precipitation
CPC
Trend
Comb
CPC
Trend
Comb
1995–2012
Conf
0.0144
0.0227
0.0463
0.0068
0.0072
0.0150
ISS
0.0236
0.0215
0.0332
0.0031
0.0071
0.0090
2003–2012
Conf
0.0164
0.0326
0.0627
0.0060
0.0094
0.0170
ISS
0.0241
0.0402
0.0461
0.0047
0.0130
0.0159
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