Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate

Table 1

Average confidence and information gain for forecasts and trend extrapolation.

		Temperature			Precipitation
	CPC	Trend	Comb	CPC	Trend	Comb
1995–2012
Conf	0.0144	0.0227	0.0463	0.0068	0.0072	0.0150
ISS	0.0236	0.0215	0.0332	0.0031	0.0071	0.0090
2003–2012
Conf	0.0164	0.0326	0.0627	0.0060	0.0094	0.0170
ISS	0.0241	0.0402	0.0461	0.0047	0.0130	0.0159