Research Article
Scenario-Based Analysis on the Structural Change of Land Uses in China
Table 1
Economic growth under the BAU scenario in 2008–2100 (unit: %).
| | 2008~2010 | 2011~2015 | 2016~2020 | 2021~2025 | 2026~2030 | 2031~2040 | 2041~2050 | 2051~2075 | 2076~2100 |
| GDP growth | 8.7 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 3.9 | Labor growth | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | −0.3 | −0.4 | −0.6 | −0.9 | Capital growth | 12.6 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 4.8 | TFP growth | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
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