An ENSO-Forecast Independent Statistical Model for the Prediction of Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency in April

<table>LOOCV of Atlantic hurricane prediction with (green) and without (blue) ENSO as a predictor. Without ENSO, the three predictors are AMM, TSA, and LHF; With ENSO, the three predictors are AMM, TSA, and NINO12.</table>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 5

Figure 5: An ENSO-Forecast Independent Statistical Model for the Prediction of Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency in April 