Advances in Meteorology / 2014 / Article / Fig 6

Research Article

Uncertainty Assessment: Reservoir Inflow Forecasting with Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts and HEC-HMS

Figure 6

The evaluation of MAE. The average MAEs of the ensemble-mean was 530, 985, and 503 m3/s for Typhoon Soulik, Typhoon Saola, and Typhoon Morakot, respectively. The performance of the ensemble-mean is probably not the best, but we cannot know which individual member is the best before it actually occurs.
(a) Typhoon Soulik  (2013)
(b) Typhoon Saola  (2012)
(c) Typhoon Morakot  (2009)