Advances in Meteorology / 2014 / Article / Fig 6

Research Article

Uncertainty Assessment: Reservoir Inflow Forecasting with Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts and HEC-HMS

Figure 6

The evaluation of MAE. The average MAEs of the ensemble-mean was 530, 985, and 503 m3/s for Typhoon Soulik, Typhoon Saola, and Typhoon Morakot, respectively. The performance of the ensemble-mean is probably not the best, but we cannot know which individual member is the best before it actually occurs.
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(a) Typhoon Soulik  (2013)
581756.fig.006b
(b) Typhoon Saola  (2012)
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(c) Typhoon Morakot  (2009)