Uncertainty Assessment: Reservoir Inflow Forecasting with Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts and HEC-HMS
Figure 6
The evaluation of MAE. The average MAEs of the ensemble-mean was 530, 985, and 503 m3/s for Typhoon Soulik, Typhoon Saola, and Typhoon Morakot, respectively. The performance of the ensemble-mean is probably not the best, but we cannot know which individual member is the best before it actually occurs.
