Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology

Table 8

The results of testing forecast model 1 and forecast model 2.

Forecast hour	Area number	Forecast model; (1 or 2)	The mean/SD of LAT deviation; Unit: °N	The mean/SD of LON deviation; Unit: °E	The mean/SD of AP deviation; Unit: hpa	The mean/SD of WS deviation; Unit: m/s
24 h	1	1	0.8128/0.6515	1.0295/0.7600	4.9278/3.9733	3.7787/2.8858
		2	0.7004/0.5153	0.8802/0.7011	5.4114/4.3187	3.9637/2.9843
	2	1	0.9131/0.5832	0.9864/0.7794	6.3412/4.4247	3.8268/2.7857
		2	0.7538/0.6538	1.0050/0.8670	4.9175/4.9673	3.8487/3.0261
	3	1	0.7555/0.5945	1.0528/0.9093	7.8149/6.9316	4.7342/4.1782
		2	0.7727/0.6183	0.8949/0.7255	7.3489/6.6512	5.1718/4.3368
	4	1	0.6582/0.5365	0.8797/0.6251	6.6373/5.5333	3.6128/2.6486
		2	0.6404/0.4911	0.9500/0.6746	6.2280/5.6617	3.7521/2.5645
	5	1	0.6899/0.4989	0.8618/0.6124	6.2218/6.3820	2.9503/2.5823
		2	0.6996/0.5634	1.0017/0.7915	6.3203/6.1131	4.1867/3.2785
48 h	1	1	1.2198/0.8343	1.7735/1.4304	9.7782/5.7246	6.8402/4.0289
		2	1.2598/0.8949	1.6941/1.2488	9.4557/7.2439	6.5030/4.4361
	2	1	1.2250/0.9604	2.1960/1.6746	10.9775/8.4764	7.9032/5.9307
		2	1.2857/1.0131	2.0330/1.5552	8.1434/6.3813	6.5293/4.3273
	3	1	1.2407/0.7253	2.1655/1.7786	9.6580/6.9204	7.5541/5.2989
		2	1.3250/0.9565	1.8414/1.5666	8.1024/7.2309	6.2452/5.3772
	4	1	0.9162/0.8120	1.7618/1.3047	7.9009/5.5968	5.7899/4.5371
		2	0.9896/0.7848	1.5020/1.1732	7.0978/4.8208	5.2826/3.7708
	5	1	0.9650/0.7833	1.6960/1.4327	9.1107/7.4706	8.7411/6.4006
		2	1.1315/1.0845	1.9731/1.5516	9.2449/6.8041	6.8057/4.8502