Improving the Operational Methodology of Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Prediction in the Australian and the South Pacific Ocean Regions

Table 1

Correlation with number of TCs in AR.

Explanatory variable	Month with highest correlation	Correlation
Niño4 SST anomalies	September	−0.672
Dipole Mode Index	September	−0.615
Niño3.4 SST anomalies	Average Aug/Sep	−0.611
5VAR index	August	−0.597
El Niño Modoki Index	September	−0.590
SOI	August	0.583
Niño3 SST anomalies	September	−0.523
MEI	September	−0.520
Niño1 + 2 SST anomalies	September	−0.289