Research Article

Fuzzy Clustering-Based Ensemble Approach to Predicting Indian Monsoon

Table 7

Mean absolute errors (%) for annual Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction by individual RNN cluster models and ensemble model for test period 2001–2013. Reports minimum error of 5.1%.

Predictor set Parameter set Cluster1 error (%) Cluster2 error (%) Cluster3 error (%) Ensemble error (%)

PredSet1 ParSet1 11.3 7.1 16.8 7.0
PredSet2 ParSet1 13.2 13.5 12.6 8.5
PredSet3 ParSet1 12.9 5.4 6.0 5.1
PredSet4 ParSet1 12.3 6.4 4.7 5.9
PredSet5 ParSet2 15.1 16.1 13.4 8.8