Fuzzy Clustering-Based Ensemble Approach to Predicting Indian Monsoon

Table 9

Prediction evaluation statistics for ensemble models during test period 2001–2013 (Section 4.5).

Verification measures	MR	MLP	RNN	GRNN
RMSE for forecast (%)	8.4	5.3	6.4	7.4
PY (%) at allowed error 5%	46	69	53	46
PY (%) at allowed error 10%	76	92	92	84
PY (%) at allowed error 15%	92	100	92	100
PC between actual and predicted rainfall	0.61	0.81	0.71	0.49
WI between actual and predicted rainfall	0.71	0.89	0.81	0.62