The Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Extent from Spring to Summer and Its Linkage to the Decline of SIE in September

<table class="figure-group"><tr class="fig-image" id="a"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2015/352380/figures/352380.fig.0013a.svgz" name="352380.fig.0013a" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(a) </b>Forecast (solid) by <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M67" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 22.0215 11.5564" width="22.0215pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z" id="g121-47"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,10.738,0)"><path d="M152 404V712C115 698 54 683 7 677V654C71 648 73 642 73 579V24C128 -2 179 -12 220 -12C353 -12 471 92 471 238C471 357 381 449 274 449C262 449 249 446 233 439L152 404ZM152 374C170 384 202 393 230 393C313 393 382 326 382 213C382 97 330 26 246 26C194 26 165 62 158 81C154 91 152 101 152 116V374Z" id="g121-96"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="508" vert-adv-y="508"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,17.342,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg> and Sept SIE (dashed)</td></tr><tr class="fig-image" id="b"><td><object data="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/amete/volume-2015/352380/figures/352380.fig.0013b.svgz" name="352380.fig.0013b" type="image/svg+xml"></object></td></tr><tr class="fig-caption"><td><b>(b) </b>As in (a) but for detrended case <svg height="11.5564pt" id="M68" style="vertical-align:-2.26807pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 20.9124 11.5564" width="20.9124pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z" id="g121-47"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,10.738,0)"><path d="M390 111C344 68 312 56 269 56C212 56 118 102 118 241C118 346 175 401 241 401C277 401 312 388 342 360C350 352 355 349 361 349C372 349 394 371 394 392C394 403 391 411 378 422C362 436 329 449 288 449H287C250 449 190 432 138 392C71 341 37 274 37 197C37 90 112 -12 238 -12C297 -12 363 32 407 90L390 111Z" id="g121-97"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="423" vert-adv-y="423"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,16.237,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg></td></tr></table>

<div>The time series of SIE observed in September and a multiple regression forecasted SIE in September during 1979–2014: (a) the observed versus predicted September SIE based on two variables the JJ and JA SIE and (b) as in (a) but for the variables detrended case.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

fig13

Figure 13

Figure 13: The Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Extent from Spring to Summer and Its Linkage to the Decline of SIE in September 