Research Article

Characterization of Future Caribbean Rainfall and Temperature Extremes across Rainfall Zones

Table 2

Linear trends calculated over 1979–1989 for station observations (OBS) and PRECIS-reanalysis matching points (RMP) for all indices across each zone and the entire Caribbean. Trend values with differences that are statistically significant at the 95% level are in bold and italics. CDD (CWD) is the maximum number of consecutive dry (wet) days; R10 is the annual count of days when precipitation is greater than or equal to 10 mm; R95P is the annual total precipitation when rainfall is greater than the 95th percentile; RX5 is annual highest 5-consecutive-day precipitation (mm); TX90 (TN90) is the percentage of days when maximum (minimum) temperature is greater than the 90th percentile; TX10 (TN10) is the percentage of days when maximum (minimum) temperature is less than the 10th percentile.

Zones12345AllUnits/year
OBSRMPOBSRMPOBSRMPOBSRMPOBSRMPOBSRMP

IndicesCDD0.260.54−0.871.020.241.290.080.77−0.270.31−0.060.60days
CWD−0.010.510.01−0.85−0.12−0.650.060.00−0.120.81−0.020.12days
R100.98−1.130.24−1.120.52−0.31−0.58−1.68−0.200.49−0.11−0.94days
R95P6.41−34.67−12.45−12.5610.76−5.86−3.19−19.4416.93−0.633.39−19.13mm
RX5−2.26−12.443.84−1.67−8.77−0.874.62−3.440.69−0.771.37−5.13mm
TN10P−0.150.09−0.250.02−0.150.14−0.090.59−0.180.42−0.140.30%
TN90P0.15−0.080.410.110.30−0.17−0.03−0.480.28−0.390.16−0.29%
TX10P−0.060.01−0.75−0.200.440.010.110.55−0.080.40−0.050.26%
TX90P0.07−0.020.360.13−0.83−0.070.04−0.300.09−0.210.04−0.18%