Prediction of Moderate and Heavy Rainfall in New Zealand Using Data Assimilation and Ensemble

<div>24-hour rainfall amount (mm) valid at (a) 0900 NZST 14 October 2010 and (b) 0900 NZST 29 September from NIWA 0.05-degree grid point rainfall analysis. Simulated 24-hour rainfall amount valid at (c) 0900 NZST 14 October 2010 and (d) 0900 NZST 29 September from the ensemble mean (MM) forecasts with analysis at 0006 NZST. Thin solid lines denote terrain contours with a 250-meter interval.</div>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 3

Figure 3: Prediction of Moderate and Heavy Rainfall in New Zealand Using Data Assimilation and Ensemble 